Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 4 (PORTUGAL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 May 2023, Tuesday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.1	1.7
	2.09	1.77
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.97	1.77	Watch
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.13)	1.74 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
46.4%

Hugo Gaston
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Gaston will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gaston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Roma
10.05.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
09.05.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
08.05.23	Andrea Vavassori - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Pedro Martinez Portero	Martinez P. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Arthur Cazaux - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWW?L
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
12.05.23	Sebastian Ofner - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
11.05.23	Dane Sweeny - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
09.05.23	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Franco Agamenone - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.23	Hugo Gaston - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL

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