Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Luis Guto Miguel

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.21	3.95	Watch
	1.22	4.63
	1.20	4.02	Watch
	1.17	4.5
	1.19	4.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.31)	4.22 ↑ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
77.8%

Luis Guto Miguel
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Diaz Acosta's performance.

Luis Guto Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luis Guto Miguel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Luis Guto Miguel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Miguel (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Miguel (2.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Facundo Diaz Acosta will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 1 - 20%). Miguel (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 238. Miguel is ranked ATP: 1616.

Diaz Acosta is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Miguel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 70.95%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Miguel Damas - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW
- Luis Guto Miguel
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Luis Guto Miguel	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Luis Guto Miguel - Pedro Andre De Almeida Santos	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Luis Guto Miguel - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWL

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Luis Guto Miguel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide