Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.48	2.84
	2.44	1.50	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)	2.51 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
61.1%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diaz Acosta: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guillen Meza (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Diaz Acosta (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 2 - 50%). Guillen Meza (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 278. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 205.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Diaz Acosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Diaz Acosta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diaz Acosta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
27.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Nicolas Kicker	Canceled ✺
19.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWW?L
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
27.02.26	Stefan Palosi - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Franco Roncadelli - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0
03.10.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide