The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Facundo Diaz Acosta 46%
Nicolas Alvarez Varona 54%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Facundo Diaz Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Facundo Diaz Acosta's form might have worsened.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Alvarez Varona's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Facundo Diaz Acosta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
39.1%
0%
60.9%
Facundo Diaz Acosta - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alvarez Varona: 41% – 80.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.
Diaz Acosta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.