Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.4	3.08
			Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)	2.95 ↑ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
68.2%

Stefano Travaglia
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Diaz Acosta's performance.

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Travaglia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Travaglia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Travaglia will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 199. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 310.

Diaz Acosta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Travaglia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Travaglia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Diaz Acosta is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diaz Acosta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Lukas Klein - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Kyrian Jacquet	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Patrick Zahraj - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Stefano Travaglia - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Federico Cina - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Stefano Travaglia - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.07.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Stefano Travaglia	2:1

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Stefano Travaglia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide