Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Modena, clay - Final

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday


	Thiago Seyboth Wild		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.39	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.81
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.6)	2.77 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild
66.2%

Stefano Travaglia
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Seyboth Wild's performance.

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Travaglia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Seyboth Wild that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Travaglia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Thiago Seyboth Wild - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Seyboth Wild (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Seyboth Wild (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Thiago Seyboth Wild will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Seyboth Wild (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 129. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 310.

Seyboth Wild is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Travaglia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Seyboth Wild may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Seyboth Wild will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Seyboth Wild - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.94%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 41.06%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Challenger
05.07.25	Jerome Kym - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Toby Alex Kodat	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
05.07.25	Federico Cina - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Stefano Travaglia - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
01.07.25	Stefano Travaglia - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
30.06.25	Stefano Travaglia - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWWWW

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