Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Reggio Emilia (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday


	Facundo Juarez		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
	1.8	1.87
	2	1.72
	1.85	1.88
	1.85	1.88
	1.83	1.83
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.83	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.69)	1.84 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Juarez
49.7%

Alexey Vatutin
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Juarez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Facundo Juarez's form might have worsened.

Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexey Vatutin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Juarez than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Facundo Juarez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Facundo Juarez - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Users Predictions: Facundo Juarez will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

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Preview

Juarez in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Vatutin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vatutin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Juarez
ITF Tournaments
21.04.24	Facundo Juarez - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Andrea Picchione - Facundo Juarez	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Juan Pablo Paz - Facundo Juarez	0:2 ✺
18.04.24	Max Schoenhaus - Facundo Juarez	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Alexandru Cristian Dumitru - Facundo Juarez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW
- Alexey Vatutin
ITF Tournaments
13.05.24	Alexey Vatutin - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Alexey Vatutin - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
25.04.24	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Alexey Vatutin - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Alexey Vatutin - Arthur Bouquier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL

Facundo Juarez - Alexey Vatutin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide