Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 12 August 2024, Monday

Referee: Chitgar A. (Aus)


	Facundo Juarez		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.58	2.28	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.2	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.85)	2.17 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Juarez
57.3%

Max Alcala Gurri
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Juarez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Juarez's performance.

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Max Alcala Gurri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Juarez than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Juarez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Alcala Gurri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Facundo Juarez - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Juarez is ranked ATP: 591. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 473.

Juarez in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Alcala Gurri is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcala Gurri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Juarez to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Juarez
ATP Challenger
11.08.24	Alessandro Giannessi - Facundo Juarez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.07.24	Gianluca Cadenasso - Facundo Juarez	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Facundo Juarez - Alessandro Spadola	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Facundo Juarez - Matteo De Vincentis	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Facundo Juarez - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
11.08.24	Daniele Rapagnetta - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
05.08.24	Andrea Picchione - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Lautaro Midon	Alcala Gurri M. retired ✺
30.07.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
29.07.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Fabien Salle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WL?LW

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