Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Facundo Mena		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72
	1.98	1.74	Watch
			Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.04	1.71	Watch
	1.98	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.65)	1.73 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Mena
46.4%

Alexey Vatutin
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Facundo Mena's form might have worsened.

Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexey Vatutin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Facundo Mena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Facundo Mena - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mena will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vatutin will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vatutin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mena is ranked ATP: 221. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 313.

Mena is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vatutin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vatutin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Vatutin will win today's game, with odds of 2.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Mena - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
14.04.25	Mitchell Krueger - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Facundo Mena - Filip Cristian Jianu	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Maximus Jones - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Valerio Aboian - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Francesco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Francisco Rocha - Alexey Vatutin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWW

Facundo Mena - Alexey Vatutin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide