Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Facundo Mena		Thomas Faurel

	1	2
			Watch
	2.60	1.44
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.5	1.52
	2.61	1.43
	2.6	1.41
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.83)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Mena
35.6%

Thomas Faurel
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Mena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Thomas Faurel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Mena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thomas Faurel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Facundo Mena - Thomas Faurel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mena is ranked ATP: 333. Faurel is ranked ATP: 323.

Mena has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Faurel is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Faurel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Faurel could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Facundo Mena - Lorenzo Claverie	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Facundo Mena - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Facundo Mena - Alafia Ayeni	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- Thomas Faurel
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Timofey Skatov - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Thomas Faurel - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
13.07.26	Thomas Faurel - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Elmer Moller - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Jerome Kym - Thomas Faurel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Facundo Mena - Thomas Faurel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide