Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday


	Fajing Sun		Aidan McHugh

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95	Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.78	1.98	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.93	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.9)	1.98 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
53.2%

Aidan McHugh
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Aidan McHugh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aidan McHugh than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Fajing Sun - Aidan McHugh Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sun will win (votes: 2 - 50%). McHugh will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. McHugh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 218. McHugh is ranked ATP: 496.

Sun is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

McHugh has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

McHugh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
20.05.25	Fajing Sun - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Fajing Sun - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Ilia Simakin - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	Fajing Sun - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Fajing Sun - Antoine Escoffier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWWWW
- Aidan McHugh
ATP Challenger
01.06.25	Aidan McHugh - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Aidan McHugh - Blake Mott	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Aidan McHugh - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Aidan McHugh - Stuart Parker	Parker S. retired ✺
24.04.25	Mert Alkaya - Aidan McHugh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLL?L

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