Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Fajing Sun		Harold Mayot

	1	2
			Watch
	3.3	1.29	Watch
	3.04	1.39
	3.38	1.32	Watch
			Watch
	2.99	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.57)	1.34 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
29.7%

Harold Mayot
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fajing Sun's form might have worsened.

Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harold Mayot's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Fajing Sun - Harold Mayot Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 225. Mayot is ranked ATP: 150.

Sun has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mayot has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mayot is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Harold Mayot - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.41%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Beijing
22.09.25	Terence Atmane - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Fajing Sun - Omar Jasika	1:2 ✺
01.09.25	James McCabe - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Fajing Sun - Sanhui Shin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWL
- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Harold Mayot - Viktor Durasovic	Canceled ✺
17.09.25	Dan Added - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Alexey Vatutin - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Harold Mayot - Clement Chidekh	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Harold Mayot - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?LWLW

Fajing Sun - Harold Mayot: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide