Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Yi Zhou		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.38	1.52	Watch
	2.41	1.59
	2.36	1.53	Watch
	2.39	1.54	Watch
	2.54	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.67)	1.53 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yi Zhou
38.8%

Tristan Schoolkate
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yi Zhou that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristan Schoolkate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yi Zhou - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhou is ranked ATP: 308. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 96.

Zhou is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Schoolkate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zhou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Schoolkate is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zhou won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Yi Zhou - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.96%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Zhou
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Yi Zhou - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
22.09.25	Yi Zhou - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Yi Zhou - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Cameron Norrie - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.25	Peter Buldorini - Yi Zhou	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLLW?
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Tristan Schoolkate - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
23.09.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
16.09.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.06.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Yi Zhou	2:1
27.01.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Yi Zhou	2:0
07.05.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Yi Zhou	2:0

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