Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Fausto Tabacco		Alejo Sanchez Quilez

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Fausto Tabacco
32.6%

Alejo Sanchez Quilez
67.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fausto Tabacco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Alejo Sanchez Quilez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fausto Tabacco than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejo Sanchez Quilez than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Tabacco is ranked ATP: 528., and Sanchez Quilez is ranked ATP: 364..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Sanchez Quilez could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Sanchez Quilez is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Tabacco has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fausto Tabacco
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Fausto Tabacco	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Fausto Tabacco - Jack Anthrop	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Fausto Tabacco - Patrick Schoen	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 ?LWLW
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Alexander Donski - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLW

ITF Tournaments
07.03.24	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Fausto Tabacco	2:0

Fausto Tabacco - Alejo Sanchez Quilez