Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Alexander Donski		Alejo Sanchez Quilez

	1	2
			Watch
	2.85	1.35
	2.85	1.35	Watch
	2.87	1.37	Watch
	2.95	1.38
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	2.85	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.13)	1.37 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Donski
32.3%

Alejo Sanchez Quilez
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Donski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Alejo Sanchez Quilez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejo Sanchez Quilez than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Alexander Donski - Alejo Sanchez Quilez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donski is ranked ATP: 523., and Sanchez Quilez is ranked ATP: 364..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Sanchez Quilez may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Sanchez Quilez is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Donski - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.62%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Alexander Donski - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Alexander Donski - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Alexander Donski	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Alexander Donski - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Alexander Donski - Nitin Kumar Sinha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWW
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW

Alexander Donski - Alejo Sanchez Quilez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide