Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H Bastia-Lucciana, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday


	Fausto Tabacco		Gianluca Cadenasso

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.44
			Watch
			Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.35	1.54	Watch
	2.32	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.06)	1.52 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fausto Tabacco
38.7%

Gianluca Cadenasso
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fausto Tabacco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fausto Tabacco's form might have worsened.

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gianluca Cadenasso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fausto Tabacco than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Preview

Tabacco is ranked ATP: 761. Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 466.

In recent matches, Tabacco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cadenasso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cadenasso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cadenasso could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Cadenasso will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabacco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fausto Tabacco
ITF Tournaments
09.07.25	Fausto Tabacco - Gianluca Carlini	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Matthew Donald - Fausto Tabacco	2:1 ✺
13.06.25	Fausto Tabacco - Lorenzo Sciahbasi	1:2 ✺
12.06.25	Niccolo Catini - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Fausto Tabacco - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW
- Gianluca Cadenasso
ITF Tournaments
09.07.25	Timeo Bretin - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Bor Artnak	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Millen Hurrion	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.09.23	Gianluca Cadenasso - Fausto Tabacco	2:1

Fausto Tabacco - Gianluca Cadenasso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide