Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 4 (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 4 (Italy) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Fausto Tabacco		Marcello Serafini

	1	2
	3.1	1.3
	3.2	1.3
	3.5	1.29
	3.24	1.31	Watch
	3.3	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.42)	1.29 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fausto Tabacco
28.4%

Marcello Serafini
71.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fausto Tabacco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fausto Tabacco's form might have worsened.

Marcello Serafini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcello Serafini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fausto Tabacco than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fausto Tabacco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcello Serafini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Tabacco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Serafini is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Serafini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Serafini will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Serafini to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fausto Tabacco
ITF Tournaments
13.03.24	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Fausto Tabacco	2:1 ✺
07.03.24	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	Ammar Elamin - Fausto Tabacco	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Liam Gavrielides - Fausto Tabacco	2:1 ✺
01.03.24	Fausto Tabacco - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW
- Marcello Serafini
ITF Tournaments
13.04.24	Jelle Sels - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Yshai Oliel - Marcello Serafini	0:2 ✺
11.04.24	Marcello Serafini - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
10.04.24	Marcello Serafini - Samuele Pieri	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Marcello Serafini - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWW

Fausto Tabacco - Marcello Serafini

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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