Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday


	Marcello Serafini		Samuele Pieri

	1	2
	1.16	4.4
	1.18	4.2
	1.22	3.86
	1.23	3.86
	1.25	3.75
	1.23	3.86	Watch
	1.19	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.49)	3.99 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcello Serafini
76.8%

Samuele Pieri
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcello Serafini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcello Serafini's performance.

Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samuele Pieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcello Serafini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samuele Pieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Serafini is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pieri is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Serafini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Serafini is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcello Serafini
ITF Tournaments
08.04.24	Marcello Serafini - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.04.24	Marcello Serafini - Franco Agamenone	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.03.24	Nino Serdarusic - Marcello Serafini	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Ergi Kirkin - Marcello Serafini	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Milan Markovits - Marcello Serafini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWW
- Samuele Pieri
ITF Tournaments
08.04.24	Samuele Pieri - Niklas Schell	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Elmer Moeller - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Samuele Pieri - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Samuele Pieri - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Jelle Sels - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWWW

Marcello Serafini - Samuele Pieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide