Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 15, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Fausto Tabacco		Toufik Sahtali

	1	2
	1.51	2.59
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.4	2.63
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)	2.59 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fausto Tabacco
64.1%

Toufik Sahtali
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fausto Tabacco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fausto Tabacco's performance.

Toufik Sahtali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toufik Sahtali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fausto Tabacco than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fausto Tabacco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toufik Sahtali than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toufik Sahtali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fausto Tabacco - Toufik Sahtali Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tabacco is ranked ATP: 812. Sahtali is ranked ATP: 682.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sahtali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tabacco could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Toufik Sahtali - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fausto Tabacco
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Fausto Tabacco - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Fausto Tabacco - Nicolas Robert	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Fausto Tabacco - Maximilian Figl	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Fausto Tabacco - Aljaz Jeran	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Henry Searle - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL
- Toufik Sahtali
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Jacob Bradshaw - Toufik Sahtali	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Nazim Makhlouf - Toufik Sahtali	Sahtali T. Walkover ✺
22.04.26	Aaron Gil Garcia - Toufik Sahtali	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Toufik Sahtali - Sebastian Gima	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Toufik Sahtali - Nicolas Tepmahc	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 W?WLW

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