Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Monastir 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Federica Urgesi		Arianna Zucchini

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.85
	1.37	2.81	Watch
	1.4	2.63
	1.36	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.51)	2.79 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
66.7%

Arianna Zucchini
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Arianna Zucchini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federica Urgesi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arianna Zucchini than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arianna Zucchini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Federica Urgesi - Arianna Zucchini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Urgesi is ranked WTA: 438. Zucchini is ranked WTA: 532.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Zucchini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Urgesi might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Arianna Zucchini - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.66%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
03.03.26	Mika Stojsavljevic - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Alisa Oktiabreva - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Abdel Aziz Lamis Alhussein - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Federica Urgesi - Xinxin Yao	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Federica Urgesi - Dune Vaissaud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWLW
- Arianna Zucchini
ITF Tournaments
03.03.26	Hibah Shaikh - Arianna Zucchini	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Arianna Zucchini - Han Shi	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Margaux Maquet - Arianna Zucchini	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Arianna Zucchini - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Arianna Zucchini - Yujin Kim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLW

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