Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Bucharest 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday


	Federica Urgesi		Julia Avdeeva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.9	1.34
	2.93	1.33	Watch
	3.06	1.34
	3.09	1.31	Watch
	3.03	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.38)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
30.7%

Julia Avdeeva
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Julia Avdeeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julia Avdeeva than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Federica Urgesi - Julia Avdeeva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Urgesi is ranked WTA: 398. Avdeeva is ranked WTA: 253.

In recent matches, Urgesi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Avdeeva is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Urgesi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Avdeeva is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Avdeeva will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Marine Szostak - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
26.08.25	Jenny Duerst - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Federica Urgesi - Noemi Basiletti	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWW
- Julia Avdeeva
ITF Tournaments
07.09.25	Julia Avdeeva - Alice Tubello	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Justina Mikulskyte - Julia Avdeeva	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Julia Avdeeva - Anastasia Tikhonova	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Julia Avdeeva - Emily Seibold	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Julia Avdeeva - Ekaterina Kazionova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW

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