Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday


	Federico Agustin Gomez		Niels McDonald

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.20
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.69	2.35
	1.63	2.22	Watch
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.63	2.32	Watch
	1.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.8)	2.24 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Agustin Gomez
57.7%

Niels McDonald
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Agustin Gomez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Agustin Gomez's performance.

Niels McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Niels McDonald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Agustin Gomez than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niels McDonald than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	0%	27.8%

Federico Agustin Gomez - Niels McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Gomez will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). McDonald will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gomez: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Gomez (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gomez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gomez is ranked ATP: 209. McDonald is ranked ATP: 505.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gomez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Agustin Gomez - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.63%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Agustin Gomez
ATP Umag
12.07.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Raul Brancaccio - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Henry Bernet	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
29.06.26	Gustavo Heide - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWL
- Niels McDonald
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Niels McDonald - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Niels McDonald - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Niels McDonald - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Cezar Cretu - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLL

Federico Agustin Gomez - Niels McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide