Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday


	Niels McDonald		Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

	1	2
			Watch
	1.50	2.40
	1.5	2.35
	1.58	2.48
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.54	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.51)	2.4 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Niels McDonald
61.1%

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niels McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niels McDonald than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Cruz Martin Manzano than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Niels McDonald - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Martin Manzano will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 620. Martin Manzano is ranked ATP: 495.

McDonald is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Martin Manzano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Martin Manzano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

McDonald could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niels McDonald
ATP Challenger
25.06.26	Cezar Cretu - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Niels McDonald - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Niels McDonald	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.06.26	Niels McDonald - Sandro Kopp	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Aristotelis Thanos - Niels McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWWW
- Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Niccolo Catini - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.06.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Alexandre Reco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL

Niels McDonald - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide