Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2025, Monday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Cedrik-Marcel Stebe

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.6	2.38
	1.56	2.33	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.85)	2.35 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
60.3%

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Arnaboldi's performance.

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cedrik-Marcel Stebe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Arnaboldi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cedrik-Marcel Stebe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Federico Arnaboldi - Cedrik Marcel Stebe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaboldi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Federico Arnaboldi will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 339. Stebe is ranked ATP: 889.

Arnaboldi is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stebe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arnaboldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arnaboldi could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Arnaboldi - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Umag
19.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.07.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
30.06.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
ATP Challenger
31.07.25	Andrea Collarini - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Michael Geerts - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.06.25	Jakub Nicod - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	Nicod J. retired ✺
28.06.25	Aleksandr Braynin - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Maik Steiner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LW?WW

Federico Arnaboldi - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide