Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 October 2024, Tuesday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.69	1.49
	2.58	1.47	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.47)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
35.5%

Jan Choinski
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Federico Arnaboldi - Jan Choinski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 248. Choinski is ranked ATP: 177.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Arnaboldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Choinski will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaboldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Arnaboldi - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.74%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
27.09.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
23.09.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Duarte Vale	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
02.10.24	Jan Choinski - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
18.09.24	Laslo Djere - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
17.09.24	Jan Choinski - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Jan Choinski - Syl Gaxherri	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Jacopo Berrettini - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.02.19	Jan Choinski - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0

Federico Arnaboldi - Jan Choinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide