Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Trento, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Trento 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Federico Arnaboldi		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.1	1.75
	1.66	2.07	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.95	1.74	Watch
	1.95	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.82)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
48.3%

Marvin Moeller
51.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Arnaboldi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marvin Moeller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Federico Arnaboldi - Marvin Moeller Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 397. Moeller is ranked ATP: 447.

Recent performances by Arnaboldi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moeller is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Moeller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arnaboldi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Arnaboldi - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Marvin Moeller - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ITF Tournaments
17.02.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Gabriele Crivellaro	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Ivan Gakhov - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLWW
- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Giovanni Oradini - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Paul Jubb - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Marvin Moeller - Stefano Napolitano	Moeller M. walkover ✺
13.02.26	Daniel Masur - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Hazem Naw - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Marvin Moeller	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ITF Tournaments
27.10.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Gabriele Maria Piano	✺

Federico Arnaboldi - Marvin Moeller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide