Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Oberhaching, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Marvin Moeller		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
	2	1.82
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	1.92	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.33)	1.76 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
47.2%

Stefano Napolitano
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marvin Moeller's performance.

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Napolitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marvin Moeller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Napolitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marvin Moeller - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 446. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 436.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Napolitano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
13.02.26	Daniel Masur - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Hazem Naw - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Vincent Dullinger - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.02.26	Rudolf Molleker - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL
- Stefano Napolitano
ITF Tournaments
13.02.26	Yaroslav Demin - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Filippo Romano - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Pepijn Bastiaansen - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Charles Broom - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWL?

Marvin Moeller - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide