Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 San Gregorio di Catania, clay - Final

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Federico Bondioli		Gianmarco Ferrari

	1	2
	1.76	2.02
	1.30	3.07	Watch
	1.72	1.99	Watch
	1.66	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)	2.27 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Bondioli
58.5%

Gianmarco Ferrari
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Bondioli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Gianmarco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (-2%)

Federico Bondioli - Gianmarco Ferrari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bondioli is ranked ATP: 409. Ferrari is ranked ATP: 561.

Bondioli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ferrari is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bondioli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Bondioli - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 54.64%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Bondioli
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Lorenzo Comino	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Pietro Marino	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Pierre Antoine Tailleu	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Federico Bondioli - Filippo Moroni	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL
- Gianmarco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Gianmarco Ferrari - Marcel Zielinski	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Massimo Giunta - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Michele Mecarelli - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Alessandro Bellifemine - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.08.22	Gianmarco Ferrari - Federico Bondioli	2:0

Federico Bondioli - Gianmarco Ferrari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide