Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Federico Bondioli		Filippo Moroni

	1	2
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.52
	2.30	1.56	Watch
			Watch
	2.47	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.11)	1.51 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Bondioli
38.2%

Filippo Moroni
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Bondioli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Bondioli's form might have worsened.

Filippo Moroni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Filippo Moroni's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Federico Bondioli - Filippo Moroni Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bondioli will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Moroni will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Federico Bondioli will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bondioli is ranked ATP: 412. Moroni is ranked ATP: 480.

Bondioli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Moroni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bondioli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Bondioli
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Mustapha El Natour	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Esteban Talavera Cortes	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Noah Lopez Cherubino	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW
- Filippo Moroni
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Filippo Moroni	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Filippo Moroni	Moroni F. retired ✺
25.10.25	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Filippo Moroni	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Federico Bondioli - Filippo Moroni	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Filippo Moroni - Patrick Brady	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Federico Bondioli - Filippo Moroni	0:2

Federico Bondioli - Filippo Moroni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide