Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sharm ElSheikh 7, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Federico Bondioli		Semen Pankin

	1	2
	2.19	1.6
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.2	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.15)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Bondioli
42.4%

Semen Pankin
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Bondioli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Semen Pankin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Bondioli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Semen Pankin than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Semen Pankin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Federico Bondioli - Semen Pankin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bondioli is ranked ATP: 440. Pankin is ranked ATP: 608.

Bondioli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pankin is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bondioli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Pankin will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bondioli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Bondioli - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.12%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Bondioli
ITF Tournaments
13.03.26	Federico Bondioli - Seydina Andre	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Federico Bondioli - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Federico Bondioli - Pijus Vaitiekunas	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Federico Bondioli - Semen Pankin	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Federico Bondioli - Melih Anavatan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW
- Semen Pankin
ITF Tournaments
13.03.26	Semen Pankin - Filippo Mazzola	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Semen Pankin - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Semen Pankin - Muthu Aadhitiya Senthilkumar	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Semen Pankin - Michal Krajci	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Federico Bondioli - Semen Pankin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.03.26	Federico Bondioli - Semen Pankin	1:2

Federico Bondioli - Semen Pankin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide