Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Genova 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Federico Bondioli		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.58	1.54
	2.30	1.58	Watch
			Watch
	2.56	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.53)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Bondioli
37.4%

Stefano Travaglia
62.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Bondioli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Federico Bondioli - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bondioli is ranked ATP: 416. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 208.

In recent matches, Bondioli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Travaglia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bondioli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Travaglia could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Travaglia will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bondioli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Bondioli
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Federico Bondioli - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Tom Gentzsch - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Daniel Cukierman - Federico Bondioli	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Federico Bondioli - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWL
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Juan Bautista Torres	Travaglia S. retired ✺
26.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Martin Damm - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.08.24	Federico Bondioli - Stefano Travaglia	0:2
01.05.23	Federico Bondioli - Stefano Travaglia	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Laslo Djere - Stefano Travaglia	✺

Federico Bondioli - Stefano Travaglia