Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Martin Damm		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.4	2.75
	1.36	2.95
	1.41	2.82
	1.43	2.9
	1.40	2.92	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.43	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	2.84 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
66.9%

Stefano Travaglia
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Martin Damm - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Damm will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Travaglia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Damm (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 429. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 212.

Recent performances by Damm have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Travaglia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Damm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Damm is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Damm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Martin Damm - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Martin Damm - Jesse Flores	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Giles Hussey - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Aidan Mayo - Martin Damm	Damm M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWL?
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Timofey Skatov - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Stefano Travaglia - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.02.24	Stefano Travaglia - Martin Damm	2:1

Martin Damm - Stefano Travaglia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide