Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Chengdu 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Federico Cina		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.59	2.32	Watch
	1.62	2.23	Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.58	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	2.31 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Federico Cina
59.2%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
40.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Cina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Cina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camilo Ugo Carabelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Federico Cina - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Cina is ranked ATP: 170., and Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 75..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Cina may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Cina is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Cina has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Cina - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.92%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Cina
ATP Chengdu
23.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Kaichi Uchida - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Federico Cina - James Kent Trotter	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Alex Michelsen - Federico Cina	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Federico Cina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Nuno Borges - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Moez Echargui	Ugo Carabelli C. Retired ✺
19.08.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 ?L?WL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Cina
ATP Challenger
28.10.26	Federico Cina - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	✺

Federico Cina - Camilo Ugo Carabelli