Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	18:30	HBO Max


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.60	1.48
	2.66	1.45
	2.79	1.51
	2.63	1.49	Watch
	2.65	1.47
	2.73	1.48	Watch
	2.7	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.09)	1.47 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
35.3%

Jan-Lennard Struff
64.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Struff (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jan-Lennard Struff will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 76. Struff is ranked ATP: 43.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Struff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Struff will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Moez Echargui	Ugo Carabelli C. Retired ✺
19.08.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
20.07.26	Titouan Droguet - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 ?WLLL
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Alex Michelsen - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria	✺
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Basel
27.10.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Jan-Lennard Struff	✺

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jan-Lennard Struff: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide