Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Federico Cina		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.79	2.11
	1.71	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.7	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.02)	2.02 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Cina
53.9%

Jurij Rodionov
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Cina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Cina's performance.

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jurij Rodionov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Cina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jurij Rodionov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Federico Cina - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jurij Rodionov will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jurij Rodionov will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cina is ranked ATP: 208. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 178.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jurij Rodionov - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.3%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Cina
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Federico Cina - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Federico Cina - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Federico Cina - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Federico Cina - Felix Gill	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWW
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Bucharest
30.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	George Loffhagen - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Jurij Rodionov - Filippo Romano	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Jurij Rodionov - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Jurij Rodionov - Alex Knaff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

Federico Cina - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide