Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Federico Cina		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.00	1.78
	2.04	1.75	Watch
	2.09	1.74	Watch
	2.15	1.7
	2.11	1.75	Watch
	2.02	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.55)	1.75 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Federico Cina
46%

Alexandre Muller
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Cina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Cina's form might have worsened.

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexandre Muller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Cina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Federico Cina - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cina will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Muller will win (votes: 12 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 59.8% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Muller (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Cina is ranked ATP: 170., and Muller is ranked ATP: 135..

In recent outings, Cina has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Muller is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Muller could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Cina is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Cina has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Cina - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.26%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Alexandre Muller - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.74%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Cina
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Federico Cina - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Kaichi Uchida - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Federico Cina - James Kent Trotter	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Alex Michelsen - Federico Cina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Moise Kouame - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Alexandre Muller - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Alexandre Muller - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.26	Felix Balshaw - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Ziga Sesko - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Federico Cina - Alexandre Muller	0:2

Upcoming Matches