Match Info

Date: 20 October 2021, Wednesday


	Federico Coria		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	1.53	2.5
	1.5	2.55
	1.49	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.47
	1.58	2.51
	1.53	2.5
	1.57	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.39)	2.52 ↓ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
62.2%

Alibek Kachmazov
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Coria's form might have worsened.

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alibek Kachmazov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alibek Kachmazov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Federico Coria - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 7 - 9.1%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 70 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kachmazov: 84.5% – 97.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Kachmazov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
13.10.21	Federico Coria - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
12.10.21	Federico Coria - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.10.21	Federico Coria - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.21	Gael Monfils - Federico Coria	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Federico Coria	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLL?
- Alibek Kachmazov
ITF Tournaments
17.10.21	Alibek Kachmazov - Bogdan Bobrov	0:2 ✺
16.10.21	Alibek Kachmazov - Ivan Liutarevich	2:1 ✺
14.10.21	Daniel Ibragimov - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
13.10.21	Alexander Chepik - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
14.09.21	Alibek Kachmazov - Shintaro Imai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWWL

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