Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NAPLES 3 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Federico Coria		Manuel Guinard

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.35	3	Watch
	1.39	3.22
	1.39	3.22
	1.4	2.75
	1.49	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	2.9 ↑ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
67.4%

Manuel Guinard
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Manuel Guinard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Federico Coria - Manuel Guinard Predictions

Users Predictions: Federico Coria will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Coria will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Coria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Santiago
28.02.24	Nicolas Jarry - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
26.02.24	Alex Molcan - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.24	Federico Coria - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
17.02.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLW
- Manuel Guinard
ATP Challenger
25.03.24	Manuel Guinard - Guido Andreozzi	Guinard M. walkover ✺
24.03.24	Manuel Guinard - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
19.03.24	Manuel Guinard - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
14.03.24	Zdenek Kolar - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Matyas Fuele - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?WLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.06.22	Federico Coria - Manuel Guinard	0:2
13.10.21	Federico Coria - Manuel Guinard	0:2

Federico Coria - Manuel Guinard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide