Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3 (Argentina), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday


	Federico Coria		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.38	3.05
	1.36	3.01	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.32	3.2	Watch
	1.34	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.42)	3.02 ↑ (2.66)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
69.1%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Federico Coria - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Users Predictions: Federico Coria will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coria is ranked ATP: 93. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 260.

Recent matches Coria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guillen Meza is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guillen Meza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Coria will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
18.09.24	Federico Coria - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Vit Kopriva - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
13.09.24	Jacopo Berrettini - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
12.09.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Olaf Pieczkowski - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
17.09.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.24	Denis Yevseyev - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.08.24	Karue Sell - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Alejandro Arcila - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Federico Coria - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide