Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PIRACICABA (BRAZIL), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Federico Coria		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.58
	2.35	1.65
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.7)	1.65 ↓ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
42.8%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Coria's form might have worsened.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Federico Coria - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ugo Carabelli to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
03.02.24	Federico Coria - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
02.02.24	Federico Coria - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
01.02.24	Federico Coria - Juan Bautista Torres	Coria F. retired ✺
30.01.24	Federico Coria - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
23.01.24	Federico Coria - Renzo Olivo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WW?WL
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
03.02.24	Felix Gill - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
02.02.24	Kilian Feldbausch - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
31.01.24	Mateus Alves - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
30.01.24	Carlos Taberner - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
24.01.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.11.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria	2:0
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Federico Coria - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0
ATP Challenger
24.09.19	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria	2:0

Federico Coria - Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide