Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PIRACICABA (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 31 January 2024, Wednesday


	Mateus Alves		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	4.1	1.19	Watch
	4.2	1.2
	4.38	1.23
	4.06	1.22	Watch
	4	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.12)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
22.7%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mateus Alves's form might have worsened.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mateus Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mateus Alves - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Alves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ugo Carabelli is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
30.01.24	Nicolas Zanellato - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
15.01.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Mateus Alves - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
12.01.24	Mateus Alves - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
11.01.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Mateus Alves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
30.01.24	Carlos Taberner - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
24.01.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
23.01.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.24	Jesper De Jong - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
10.01.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.04.23	Mateus Alves - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2

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