Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CAMPINAS (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday


	Federico Coria		Orlando Luz

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.26	3.5
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.31	3.54
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.19	4.3	Watch
	1.27	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.35)	3.58 ↑ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
73.8%

Orlando Luz
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Coria's performance.

Orlando Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orlando Luz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Luz than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Federico Coria - Orlando Luz Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Luz will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coria: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coria in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Luz is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Coria is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
03.10.23	Federico Coria - Wilson Leite	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Vit Kopriva - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Federico Coria - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Federico Coria - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
14.09.23	Federico Coria - Lucas Gerch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW
- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
03.10.23	Orlando Luz - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Orlando Luz - Marcelo Zormann	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Orlando Luz - Gabriel Roveri Sidney	2:0 ✺
26.09.23	Orlando Luz - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
18.09.23	Orlando Luz - Facundo Mena	Mena F. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.04.15	Orlando Luz - Federico Coria	2:0

Federico Coria - Orlando Luz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide