Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SZCZECIN (POLAND), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 September 2023, Thursday


	Federico Coria		Lucas Gerch

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.44	2.88
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.4	2.78	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)	2.71 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
65.4%

Lucas Gerch
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Lucas Gerch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Federico Coria - Lucas Gerch Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Gerch will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coria: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Coria is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gerch is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gerch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Coria will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Federico Coria - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
08.09.23	Andrea Vavassori - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
06.09.23	Hady Habib - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Nino Serdarusic - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.23	Federico Coria - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL
- Lucas Gerch
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Lucas Gerch - Andrew Paulson	2:1 ✺
11.09.23	Lucas Gerch - Miljan Zekic	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Federico Delbonis - Lucas Gerch	Delbonis F. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.09.23	Oliver Crawford - Lucas Gerch	0:2 ✺
02.09.23	Lucas Gerch - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WW?WW

Federico Coria - Lucas Gerch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide