Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Haigh R. (Gbr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Federico Coria		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.94	1.45
	2.94	1.45
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.82	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.48)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
33%

Ugo Humbert
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	0%	82.6%

Federico Coria - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: Ugo Humbert will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Humbert will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Federico Coria - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
03.04.24	Federico Coria - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.24	Federico Coria - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Federico Coria - Filip Krajinovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLW
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Ugo Humbert - Dominik Koepfer	1:2 ✺
22.03.24	Ugo Humbert - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Tommy Paul - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Patrick Kypson - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
02.03.24	Ugo Humbert - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW

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