Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD - FINAL

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ugo Humbert		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.43	3.09
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)	2.96 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
67.6%

Alexander Bublik
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ugo Humbert's performance.

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Bublik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	0%	41.2%

Ugo Humbert - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 20 - 58.8%). Bublik will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 42.3% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

In this match Humbert is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Dubai
01.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
29.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
28.02.24	Andy Murray - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Gael Monfils - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
22.02.24	Ugo Humbert - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Dubai
01.03.24	Alexander Bublik - Andrey Rublev	Bublik A. awarded ✺
29.02.24	Alexander Bublik - Jiri Lehecka	Bublik A. retired ✺
28.02.24	Alexander Bublik - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0 ✺
26.02.24	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
22.02.24	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 ??WWL

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