Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Lyon (France), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 May 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport 3


	Ugo Humbert		Dominik Koepfer

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.6	2.5
	1.6	2.5
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.52)	2.41 ↓ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
60.5%

Dominik Koepfer
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Dominik Koepfer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominik Koepfer than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ugo Humbert - Dominik Koepfer Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Koepfer will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Humbert is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Koepfer is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Koepfer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Humbert will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Humbert won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Humbert - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.66%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Ugo Humbert - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Ugo Humbert - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Dusan Lajovic - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.24	Ugo Humbert - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
11.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Dominik Koepfer
ATP Lyon
20.05.24	Dominik Koepfer - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:1 ✺
20.05.24	Dominik Koepfer - Brandon Nakashima	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
13.05.24	Tommy Paul - Dominik Koepfer	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Dominik Koepfer - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
09.05.24	Dominik Koepfer - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
24.03.24	Ugo Humbert - Dominik Koepfer	1:2
ATP Challenger
21.06.19	Dominik Koepfer - Ugo Humbert	2:0

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