Match Info

Date: 3 May 2022, Tuesday


	Federico Gaio		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.82	1.95
	1.88	1.79
	1.94	1.88
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.77)	1.85 ↓ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Gaio
49.7%

Daniel Michalski
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Federico Gaio - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gaio will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Michalski will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michalski: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Gaio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michalski is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gaio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
23.04.22	Federico Gaio - Juan Pablo Ficovich	1:2 ✺
22.04.22	Federico Gaio - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
21.04.22	Federico Gaio - Denis Istomin	2:0 ✺
19.04.22	Federico Gaio - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
13.04.22	Antoine Bellier - Federico Gaio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWL
- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
02.05.22	Daniel Michalski - Tobias Kamke	Michalski D. walkover ✺
01.05.22	Daniel Michalski - Sanjar Fayziev	2:1 ✺
27.04.22	Vitaliy Sachko - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
26.04.22	Daniel Michalski - Mats Moraing	2:0 ✺
25.04.22	Daniel Michalski - Bogdan Bobrov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 ?WLWW

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