Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MEXICO CITY (MEXICO) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 27 March 2023, Monday


	Federico Gaio		Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.75
	1.97	1.81
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.79	Watch
	2.01	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.69)	1.76 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Gaio
47.2%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Gaio's form might have worsened.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Gaio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Federico Gaio - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gaio will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mpetshi Perricard: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaio is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mpetshi Perricard is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
26.03.23	Federico Gaio - Luciano Alcocer	2:0 ✺
15.03.23	Federico Gaio - Hugo Gaston	Gaio F. retired ✺
14.03.23	Andrea Collarini - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
13.03.23	Federico Gaio - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Federico Gaio - Marcelo Zormann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 W?WWW
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Challenger
26.03.23	Colin Sinclair - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
13.03.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Mirza Basic	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Bogdan Bobrov	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha	1:2 ✺
23.02.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL

Federico Gaio - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide