Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday


	Federico Iannaccone		Alexander Weis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.80	1.87
	1.9	1.8
	1.88	1.96
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.86	1.93
	1.82	1.86	Watch
	1.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.07)	1.87 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Iannaccone
50.2%

Alexander Weis
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Iannaccone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Iannaccone's performance.

Alexander Weis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Weis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Iannaccone than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Iannaccone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Weis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Federico Iannaccone - Alexander Weis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Iannaccone is ranked ATP: 643. Weis is ranked ATP: 584.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Iannaccone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Weis will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Iannaccone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Iannaccone
ATP Challenger
04.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Federico Iannaccone - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Federico Iannaccone - Juan Estevez	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Federico Iannaccone - Peter Fajta	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Federico Iannaccone - Caheer Warik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW
- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Alexander Weis - Adrien Burdet	Weis A. Retired ✺
26.08.26	Alexander Weis - Oscar Blardone	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Pierluigi Basile - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Giovanni Oradini - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Kasra Rahmani - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.09.25	Alexander Weis - Federico Iannaccone	2:0
26.07.25	Alexander Weis - Federico Iannaccone	2:0
ATP Challenger
26.05.24	Alexander Weis - Federico Iannaccone	0:2
ITF Tournaments
20.10.22	Federico Iannaccone - Alexander Weis	1:2

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