Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lesa, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday


	Pierluigi Basile		Alexander Weis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.40
	1.5	2.41
	1.49	2.67
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.47	2.6
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.71)	2.54 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierluigi Basile
63.3%

Alexander Weis
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierluigi Basile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pierluigi Basile's performance.

Alexander Weis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Weis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierluigi Basile than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pierluigi Basile that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Weis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pierluigi Basile - Alexander Weis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basile is ranked ATP: 634. Weis is ranked ATP: 564.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Weis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierluigi Basile
ITF Tournaments
22.08.26	Pierluigi Basile - Nico Hipfl	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Lorenzo Comino - Pierluigi Basile	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Pierluigi Basile - Lorenzo Beraldo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.08.26	Maxim Mrva - Pierluigi Basile	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.07.26	Pierluigi Basile - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW
- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
22.08.26	Giovanni Oradini - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Kasra Rahmani - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Niccolo Catini - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Alexander Weis - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
10.08.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLW

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